远见与创新

2007-11-29

Find the Corresponding Recipe

"Human problem solving, from the most blundering to the most insightful, involves nothing more than varying mixtures of trial and error and selectivity."

"Pictures, blueprints, most diagrams, and chemical structural formulas are state descriptions. Recipes, differential equations, and equations for chemical reactions are process descriptions."

"The general paradigm is: given a blueprint, to find the corresponding recipe. Much of the activity of science is an application of that paradigm: given the description of some natural phenomena, to find the differential equations for processes that will produce the phenomena."

- The Architecture of Complexity, HERBERT A. SIMON, one of the founding figures in artificial intelligence, a winner of the Turing Award, a recipient of the Nobel Prize in Economics, and a co-founder of the School of Computer Science at Carnegie Mellon University. (Read April 26, 1962)

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Like a virus

" It is better to get half of the right thing available so that it spreads like a virus. Once people are hooked on it, take the time to improve it to 90% of the right thing. "

- The Rise of "Worse is Better", By Richard Gabriel

还有什么比这么编程序更有意思的了?:)

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2007-11-28

爬山

"爬山的时候,我说,读博士就像是爬山,爬的时候累得很多次就想干脆放弃算了,到了山顶,才觉得一切痛苦都是值得的。也许不光是读博士吧,整个人生的奋斗过程大概也是如此。"

- 《登高》郭凯

我还才刚开始呢。

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2007-11-21

忙碌

从上周四开始,疯狂地忙了4天,分析数据,做梦都在想啊。宝宝从客厅里爬过来,朝我哇哇叫,也只能忍心和她玩个几分钟就又跑到电脑旁继续干活。

终于好了,刚刚把写好的PPT发出去Review,晚上陪宝宝玩。

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2007-11-13

追赶

当发现牛人的时候,总是忍不住要追赶他/她们。

而当发现这样的美景的时候,要上哪里去追赶它们呢。:)

宾夕法尼亚,你怎么这么美,让人无法忘怀?


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2007-11-01

每个人都必须承担自己的全部

"家里人来人往,革命群众红卫兵乱翻乱砸鬼叫狼号。混乱中岳母一直抱着初生的婴儿,轻轻抚拍,不断耳语,不让受到惊吓。孩子在她怀里,一直都很安静。岳母沉静的目光、镇定的语音,成了全家的慰藉。茨林说,吓人劲儿的时候,只要看看她妈的眼睛,她就不那么害怕了。那种处变不惊、每临大事有静气的境界,我很佩服"

可是

"茨林带着高林,到那个沙漠边缘的小村,没能坚持下来,竟然一病不起。我从酒泉赶到时,她刚刚停止呼吸。岳母已几天几夜没睡,告诉我遗体尚温,要我摸一摸。我刚摸过,又要我再摸。一次一次,几乎不许我的手离开。声音里带着哀求,眼睛里固有的沉着冷静全没了,有的只是绝望和惊恐。"

"这时我才知道,...,每个人都必须承担自己的全部"

全部。

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中国方案

“上世纪70年代末,中国选择先经济后政治改革的政策,证明是正确的,它首先解决了人民基本生活的改善。在经济体制改革中,采用“摸着石头过河”的渐进方式,也证明是成功的。但如果由此认为中国可以在一个集权政体下实现现代性转型,则是错误的”

"我以为中国的政体改革应考虑四个问题:一是要有一次比较彻底的思想启蒙运动,以解除意识形态的束缚,真正建立起现代核心价值观;二是克服利益集团的干扰,政治领袖和社会精英应承担起推动民族现代性转型的重任;三是中国已形成二元结构,即内地贫穷、落后的9亿人与沿海有较高教育水平、有较高收入和国际联系的3亿多人,他们所面临的问题、诉求有较大差异,政体改革进程的推进要兼顾到这两个群体,进程过快会偏离9亿人的现实利益,过慢则会引发3亿人的不满;四是应充分吸取经济体制改革中“摸着石头过河”的经验,循序渐进,由易到难,尽可能地避免大的动荡,力求实现软着陆。 "

《“中国现代性方案”求解》秦晓(招商局集团董事长、中共十七大代表)《财经》杂志 /总196期

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